The current political situation in the United States has changed after President Joe Biden's withdrawal from running for reelection, which positioned Kamala Harris as the likely Democratic candidate for president. A recent New York Times/Siena College poll, conducted shortly after Biden's announcement, indicates that the race between Harris and former President Donald Trump is extremely close, with Trump leading by a margin of only 1% (48% to 47%).

The poll reveals that the Democratic Party is largely united around Harris, with 70 percent of Democratic voters wanting the party to quickly consolidate behind her, rather than prolong the nominee process. This massive support reflects a preference for avoiding internal divisions at a critical time, according to a report in the Latin Times.

In terms of demographic support, Harris was able to regain significant ground among Latino voters, a group that had previously shown a greater tilt toward Trump. In the current poll, 60 percent of Hispanic voters said they supported Harris, compared with 36 percent for Trump, representing a significant shift in favor of Democrats. This increase in support is remarkable considering that previous polls showed a more even split between the two candidates in this group.

Other demographics indicate that Harris still faces challenges among white voters, of whom 55% prefer Trump, and among black voters, where Harris maintains a solid lead with 72% support. In addition, Harris also leads among young voters, those under 45, with a 10-percentage point lead over Trump.

Harris's favorability among Hispanics is also significantly higher than Trump's, with 66 percent of Hispanic respondents having a favorable view of her, in contrast to only 36 percent who have a positive opinion of Trump.

Despite Harris's advantage in some demographic groups, the poll does not fully clarify the impact that his candidacy will have in states crucial to electoral victory, the so-called "swing states". This factor will be decisive for the outcome of the election.

With the Democratic National Convention approaching, Harris is expected to be formally nominated as the party's nominee, with sufficient support from the public and delegates. Replacing Harris with another candidate would be seen as a significant setback for Democrats, who are eager to maintain the continuity of Biden's policies, as emphasized by supporters such as Michael Newman, according to the Latin Times.